Monday, January 5, 2026

Manifestly Monroe

James Monroe served as the fifth president of the United States from 1817 to 1825.  

As a student at William and Mary he left school to enlist with the 3rd Virginia Regiment in 1775 joining thousands of colonists on our road to independence from British tyranny.  He participated in the New York and New Jersey campaigns and crossed the Delaware with Washington.  He was critically wounded at the Battle of Trenton nearly costing him his life.  He eventually rose to the rank of Lieutenant Colonel before studying law and beginning his lengthy political career.  This patriot was the last Founding Father to serve as president.

American Battlefield Trust

He is also remembered for the Monroe Doctrine - a foreign policy recently resurrected as one of several justifications for regime change in Venezuela.  I would like to take a few moments to walk down U.S. History's Memory Lane to refresh my reader's memories of the origins and particulars of Monroe's preeminent foreign policy.

It was 1821 when Secretary of State John Quincy Adams first expressed the notion that the American continent should be closed to colonization by other countries.  Adams felt strongly that any further colonization in America - excepting for Canada - should be left exclusively in the hands of the Americans.  As the principal architect and author it was his ideas that were subsequently adopted by President Monroe as the Monroe Doctrine.  Formalized in1823 this policy declared American dominance in the region and closed the Western Hemisphere to future European colonization and intervention. 

In simple terms the Monroe Doctrine put the European powers on notice to not colonize or interfere in the Americas anymore; in return, the United States would keep its nose out of European politics and conflicts.  President Monroe's intent was to affirm the influence of the United States in protecting newly independent countries in our hemisphere.  

Does the Monroe Doctrine allow or uphold regime change in the Western Hemisphere?  

It does not.

What it stipulates is threefold. That European powers shall not colonize or interfere in the Americas.  That the United States is opposed to external influence over newly independent nations in our hemisphere.  And it specifically does not authorize the United States to overthrow governments.  This critical distinction is that the doctrine was about keeping Europe out and not about the United States choosing governments in our hemisphere.

It was US foreign policies and actions in the late 19th and 20th centuries that went beyond the Monroe Doctrine that has contributed to misinterpretations and revisionist mashups both then and persisting to present time.  Specifically, interventions as a consequence of the Roosevelt Corollary.  Multiple subsequent Cold War interventions bastardized and reinterpreted the Doctrine to justify meddling in foreign governments including regime change.  

If you know your history you would know that the Monroe Doctrine of 1823 was a foreign policy warning to Europe; it says nothing about US expansion or territorial control.  Armed with this knowledge you would also know from our history that in the 1840s there evolved an expansionist dogma (not specific foreign policy) that the U.S. had a divine right to spread its power, way of life and expand its domain.  As a pervasive cultural attitude it justified imperial ambitions that led to the annexation of Texas, the Mexican-American War, and acquisition of the territories of Hawaii and the Philippines. 

This expansionist ideology was characterized as Manifest Destiny

I was wondering aloud the other day to an acquaintance who is a history nerd if there was some possibility that President Trump or Steven Miller somehow mangled their knowledge of U.S. history and got cattywampus with legitimate foreign policy and divinely-inspired expansionism.   

His short answer was yes; but it would be more accurate to say that the President has conflated the ideas in a rhetorical jumble, but not formally redefined them.

Trump's sonorous flourishes have drawn on themes about US dominance in the Western Hemisphere calling for the exclusion of Russian, Chinese and Iranian influences.  From time-to-time he has invoked the Monroe Doctrine as justification for strong action in Latin America.  Historians suggest that this framing treats our Western Hemisphere as a sphere of US influence and control more often aligned with the tenets of Manifest Destiny and to a lesser extent the policy of the Monroe Doctrine.

To be clear, the Monroe Doctrine is about excluding foreign empires; Manifest Destiny is about asserting U.S. power and expansion.  When the Monroe Doctrine is used to justify coercion, intervention, dominance, territorial expansion or regime change these motivations are more accurately a pretense for invoking Manifest Destiny. 

The President has implied a re-imagined Monroe Doctrine as a modern day equivalent he coined the 'Donroe Doctrine'.  Foreign policy and US history scholars suggest that renaming the Gulf Of Mexico and promising to seize the Panama Canal and Greenland echo Manifest Destiny in actual practice.

You're probably thinking:  Geeze Tom lighten-up on the semantics. You're being way too picky; cut the Prez some slack.  

To which my response would be:  Don't be a slacker.  And don't take my word for it.  Read your history.

Sunday, January 4, 2026

The End of Venezuela?

Geopolitical strategist, Peter Zeihan, posted this yesterday morning. 
 
United States forces have captured the president of Venezuela, Nicolas Maduro, in the capital of Caracas.  Peter suggests that this event marks the beginning of the disintegration of what is left of the country... 
 
 
I got all sorta questions.
 
If you watched Telemundo last night - Venezuelans were celebrating.  They appeared ecstatic that Maduro is gone.  How could that possibly mean the beginning of the end?   If Peter believes Venezuela was already a dead state and where civilization is going to disintegrate, then wouldn't this action be a positive one as it provides Venezuelans an opportunity to turn things around?  It might be more like the beginning of Venezuela as a functional state.  
 
The military operation was nothing less than a spectacular tactical success.  Yet, what is the strategy to follow?  Is there a plan, some sort of architecture to manage an orderly transition?​  Or will this be a nation building mission with a vague and nebulous end result?  
 
Venezuela could install opposition leader and Nobel Peace Prize winner Maria Corina Machado; whom Maduro didn't allow to take office and Trump has also dismissed out of hand. 
 
It will be interesting to see where things are in one month, three month and six month intervals. 
 
And ask yourself this.  What gives the United States the authority to attack another country and remove their leadership?  
 
Who is next?
 
Mexico or Greenland? 
 

Saturday, January 3, 2026

You Read It Here First

 

Yup, sometimes the king of bad predictions finds a truffle.  I wasn't wrong after-all.

You read it here first

I suppose we'll have to see what comes on Sunday, Monday and thereafter. 

 

They stole our oil, and we'll be selling large amounts of oil to other countries.

- Donald J. Trump  

Shooting Stars On Tap Tonight

The Quadrantids are an annual meteor shower that is a consequence of Earth passing through the debris field of a crumbling comet some 500 years ago.  If you have an opportunity to witness this event - depending upon your location - it has the potential of producing as many as 60 to 200 shooting stars an hour. 

For those of us in North America the Quadrantids will reach its maximum rate of activity tonight - January 3.  Some shooting stars associated with the shower began on January 1st and will continue thru January 4th.  It is short-lived yet has big potential.

Observing the show on the peninsula requires a location with little light pollution and a view towards the north-northeast between the North Star and the Big Dipper.  Unfortunately this month's full moon materialized yesterday and its light will interfere with all but the brightest meteors.  The predicted peak for the Quadrantids is just before dawn tomorrow morning when they can produce as many as 100 shooting stars per hour.  Fortunately, this meteor shower is known to produce really bright fireballs that even the moon cannot outshine.    

You do not necessarily need to locate the radiant to observe the meteor shower as the shooting stars will appear in all parts of the night sky.  Viewing prospects for your own location can be found here.

Raising a toast to clear, winter night skies and viewing the heavens...

Friday, January 2, 2026

January's Wolf Super Moon

01.09.20 Wolf Moon

With the arrival of this evening comes the first full moon of 2026. 

According to Native American tradition January's full moon is named after howling wolves and is remembered as the Wolf Moon. 

It is said that at any given time there are estimated to be a dozen wolves wandering-about here on the peninsula.  I haven’t heard any wolves howling - just the resident coyotes - likely explained by the fact that the only wolves here are solitary males.  They've been  known to find their way here having dispersed from other packs in northeastern Wisconsin or Michigan's Upper Peninsula.  I am also told it is unlikely there is a breeding population around here.  But I digress.

In other cultures this is called the Old Moon, Snow Moon, Ice Moon or Moon after Yule.  My Celtic ancestors called this the Stay At Home Moon.  

This also happens to be super moon and will occur overnight tonight and tomorrow.  Full moons are always opposite the sun and fully illuminated.  They rise at sunset and set at sunrise.  In wintertime these moons reach as high in the sky at midnight as a summer noonday sun and cast shadows!  This is the third consecutive super moon (November, December and January) and will appear 8% larger and 16% brighter than your basic garden-variety full moon.  Here in the Midwest the crest of the full moon falls at 4:03 AM tomorrow.  Nevertheless, it will appear full both tonight and tomorrow and glow near Jupiter and the twin stars of Gemini - Castor and Pollux. 

And so it begins - if you like clear skies and howling at the moon - 2026 is going to deliver 13 must-see moon events including Super Moons, conjunctions and an eclipse.  You may wish to bookmark this link so you don’t miss anything.   

Fingers-crossed for cold, clear winter sky-gazing tonight. 

Friday Music

 Not much to say about a music machine with 2000 marbles.....

Thursday, January 1, 2026

Joined The Club

A couple of months ago the Missus was in Green Bay on other business and made a trip to the local Costco, signed-up and reconnoitered the store.  She didn't purchase anything but briefly scouted the arrangement.  As she described it - If you could call it an arrangement

Last month we were in the Naked City for family stuff, stayed overnight, ran some errands at the Mayfair Mall, stopped in Manitowoc on the way home and finished with a stop at the Green Bay Costco.

We did a more in-depth scouting of the arrangement.   Clothing heaped on pallets, small kitchen utensils sharing shelves with furniture.  Cell phones and gas grills side by side, an Optical Department and much more.  IYK - YK.  Anyway, with a few more visits we'll probably get the lay of the land.  And while I haven't much use for ginormous haunches of beef, or a platoon-sized bag of frozen won tons; the produce looked great, same for the freshly-made chicken pot pies and rotisserie chicken salad.  Too bad I already purchased shrimp for the New Year festivities. I did pick-up a 40 pack of AA batteries for $19.99 (trail cameras) and a two pint container of blue berries for $3.79  Absolutely excellent pricing!  The Missus picked up some Christmas presents for herself and we both agreed that the World's Largest Retail Pumpkin Pie was a bargain at $5.99.  If I had a family with three growing children I'd be at Costco on a near weekly basis.

We get to Green Bay with sufficient frequency that it makes sense to start a Costco shopping list for bulk items.

And I got added to the plan on that visit and have my own ID.  Benefits of membership.


    Happy New Year!