I'm feeling pretty good about front-running the most serious impact of tariffs on our household economics. New appliances, vehicles, water heater, laptop, tablet, iPhone, including locking-down the pricing of a steel roof on the house eighteen months ago.
I know I sound like a broken record but contrary to what White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt or Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick will tell you about other countries paying the tariffs they're not playing it straight. Tariffs (sometimes called a duty) are a tax on imports. Tariffs are not paid by the other countries. They are paid by the US importer. The importer might "eat" some of the tax but because they have to turn a profit they generally pass it on to the purchaser of the imported goods.
Tariffs are a tax (just like a sales tax) paid by US companies and consumers.
Which leads me to this tidbit.
American-made steel is now the most expensive steel on the planet.
Only about twenty percent of the steel sold domestically is imported. The steel tariffs, previously at 25%, were raised last month to 50%. Consequently, steel imports became more expensive. Naturally, imported steel has declined in volume allowing American companies to increase their market share and raise prices to match that of imported steel.
Domestic trade policy has created an opportunistic landscape that allows domestic producers to simply charge more. Why, you ask?
Because they can.
Scott Lincicome, vice president for trade policy at the Cato Institute said it well - It's just pure protectionism and cronyism.
Heretofore, president Trump has not imposed tariffs on imports of raw materials such as iron ore, pig iron and other products that are precursors to steel production. Nevertheless, that could change if he imposes a threatened fifty percent tariff on all imports from Brazil.
In a fit of pique Trump has accused Brazilian leadership of conducting a witch hunt against his pal former far-right President Jair Bolsonaro; menacing the South American country with a retaliatory tariff over internal politics. This personal retribution against Brazil means American consumers would pay more for coffee, orange juice, paper and pulp and steel precursors sold to American mills.
White House trade policy is bananas. Does any of this come as a surprise to you?
This is called picking winners and losers. And it seems like all of my previously, self-identified libertarian friends have gone silent.
Meanwhile, I'm having a tough time figuring-out how any of this improves your and my prosperity and general lot in life. And maybe make the world a safer place.
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