Putin has badly miscalculated. He has underestimated Ukrainian resolve to resist annexation.
Evidence
of his anger and frustration is his escalation of the civilian
slaughter to industrial levels. The leveling of Aleppo foreshadowed
this.
Russia does not begin to have a large
enough military and resources to occupy/pacify Ukraine. This is a
country with a population of over 40 million, and Putin has already
committed the vast bulk of his military.
It’s becoming extremely costly for the Russians to keep up this kind of siege.
Every
single day there is the grinding loss of large numbers of armored
vehicles, men and materiel. Morale in the Russian army is dropping.
Like the Nazi overreach of WWII this may ironically become Putin’s ‘Siege of Stalingrad’.
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