Saturday, December 31, 2016

The Devil is in the Details




President-elect Trump found his way to the White House in no small measure to his assiduous use of working-class anxieties about and laying blame upon the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) for the loss of manufacturing jobs.  Now that the campaign has wrapped-up it is instructive to note that our neighbors ro the north and south are our largest trading partners taking in more than $500 billion in US goods each and every year.

According to the US Chamber of Commerce NAFTA is responsible for more than 14 million US jobs in everything from automobiles to aircraft, agricultural products, steel and pharmaceuticals.  The North American business community has invested billions of dollars to make this work to everyone's mutual benefit.

Understanding the metrics of NAFTA is complicated and a flippant campaign promise to tear-up a long standing trade treaty on day one flies in the face of complicated economic policies.

It will be fascinating to observe from the sidelines the new administration's understanding of these complexities and whether or not they imperiously scrap the entire deal or take an intelligent and more nuanced approach.

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